Created by U.S. military veterans based on experience with government survival bunkers and Safehouses.

PSN is a private subscription-based organization and is not affiliated or endorsed by the U.S. Government.

Bug-Out or Shelter-in-Place Calculator

Should you stay or go in a given scenario?

Enter your living situation and level of current preparedness (in days of supplies) to see a recommendation.

PSN Risk Profile Calculator

If the situation score is red (≥ 1.0 → 🔴 ) you are in a BUG-OUT Situation. Get to a green zone immediately.

If the situation score is orange (0.5 – 0.99 → 🟠) you are in a CONDITIONAL BUG-OUT Situation (Bug-Out if you have a pre-arranged safe place to go).

If the situation score is green (< 0.5 → 🟢) you are likely good to SHELTER-IN-PLACE.

Calculator Methodology:

The PSN Threat Probability and Severity Model provides a data-informed risk assessment tool that helps families evaluate whether to shelter in place or bug-out based on their location and level of preparedness. The model examines five key threat categories over a 10-year horizon: natural disasters, grid-down scenarios (EMP, cyber attacks, or solar flares), terror attacks, environmental hazards (such as pandemics, bioweapons, or chemical spills), and civil unrest.

These threats are scored across four location types—major U.S. cities, suburban areas, small-to-medium towns, and rural areas—using both estimated probability and severity of impact. Probability estimates were derived from public data including FEMA’s National Risk Index, DHS's 2024 Homeland Threat Assessment, and NOAA disaster frequency records, while severity scores account for factors like infrastructure dependence, population density, and supply chain fragility.

Each threat is assigned a risk score by multiplying its probability by severity, with results color-coded as green (acceptable, 0–0.49), orange (moderate, 0.5–1.0), or red (unacceptable, >1.0). Preparation levels—from 3-day to 90-day supplies—further reduce risk via modeled discount factors.

Final recommendations are issued based on risk outcomes: shelter in place if the situation score is green, conditional bug-out (to a secure location) if the situation score is orange, and bug-out if the situation score is red. Additional sources informing this model include the GAO’s grid infrastructure vulnerability reports, the CDC's pandemic preparedness strategy, and protest/unrest trends from ACLED. The result is a practical, defensible tool for modern preparedness decisions.

Limitations of the Model: Every situation is different, and no model can account for the unique factors and risks that may shape your particular emergency management situation. The above model is meant to assist in decision-making, but is not meant to replace your own judgement or the official guidance from government authorities. In any emergency situation, you should seek out, carefully consider, and follow the instructions from local, state, or Federal authorities, emergency responders, and emergency management professionals.
Chart: 10-Year Threat Probability and Severity by Location (with Citations

Frequently Asked Questions

Your Questions,

Answered Clearly

Q1: What is the Private Safehouse Network (PSN)?

PSN is America's Family Preparedness Network.

PSN provides its members with localized alerts, training and readiness materials, and a private network of pre-vetted rural Safehouses for emergency shelter in event of a disaster.

Q2: Who started PSN and what's the origin story?

PSN was founded by military veterans (led by call sign "PSN Paul") in 2025. During his military service, Paul spent time at both overseas Safehouses and some the Continuity of Government (COG) military bunker sites here in the United States (like Site-R, Site-M, and others).

PSN was created on Father's Day, 2025. Israel and Iran had just escalated to war. Signs pointed to potential increased terror activity here in the homeland.

American Families had already endured COVID lockdowns, rioting, and civil unrest in 2020. Increased political polarization and radicalization seemed on the rise. More wildfires, hurricanes, flood, and other natural disasters felt inevitable.

Watching our kids play during a Father's Day cookout at a beautiful off-grid retreat location with reserve food, water, and survival supplies, we realized that the peace of mind we enjoyed was not shared by most American families. Many lived in urban or suburban settings that could quickly become very dangerous in a prolonged power outage, urban terror attack, civil unrest, or direct natural disaster. We knew that government officials had alert systems and secretive bunker sites (We'd been to some of them). Similarly, the news was filled with celebrities and the ultra-wealthy building bunkers and rural retreats.

"What about everyone else?" we wondered.

At the same time, many farm and ranch families we knew had ample supplies, excess rooms, on-site camping land, or even vacant full cabins and farmhouses.

The idea was simple: what if we created a domestic system of private sector alerts and Safehouses? And what if we priced it so that everyone could benefit?

And the Private Safehouse Network (PSN) was born.

Q3: How does PSN work during an emergency?

If a trigger event occurs (like a natural disaster or civil unrest), PSN “activates” and Guests can deploy to their Safehouse. Hosts are notified and ready. Payments and logistics are handled by PSN.

Q4: What are the costs to join?

The goal of PSN's military veteran founder is to ensure that disaster planning, emergency alerts, decisioning data, and "Plan B" bugout options are available to every American at an affordable price.

To that end, PSN's Basic Membership is only $19/month.

Basic Membership gets members preparedness education, notifications and alerts tools and data for decision-making, and access (following a background check) to the "FLEX" (first-come, first-served) tier network of Safehouses.

There is a second tier of Safehouse access called RESERVED. Reserved Hosts receive a monthly readiness fee from PSN to reserve the location exclusively for a particular PSN Guest. Consider it the VIP treatment. Those fees are set by Hosts, but processed through PSN.

Both FLEX and RESERVED hosts set a reasonable and fixed pre-set nightly rate for nights actually stayed at their Safehouse. Part of participation in the Safehouse Network, is that nightly Safehouse rates and locked-in, so Hosts cannot raise rates due to surging demand in an emergency. Note: Access to Safehouses requires a criminal background check (for both Guests and Hosts), so if members wish to participate in Safehouse access, an additional one-time background check fee of $50 is required.

Q5: What kinds of safehouses are available?

Safehouses vary widely in accommodations, sizes and price, but are all certified to have basic survival supplies nearby or available. Safehouses may be 1) a campground space (RV or clamping), 2) rooms within a shared home, 3) cabins, 4) apartments or conversions, or 5) whole house or other private, self-contained units. Guests choose the Safehouse type that fits their needs and budget.

Q6: How does PSN ensure safety and privacy?

Guests and new Hosts undergo a criminal background check. PSN includes a verification system, optional readiness visits, and strict privacy protocols to ensure mutual trust. Members are encouraged to create and use a callsign or code-name in communications with other members.

Q7: What agreements govern PSN Membership and where can I find PSN's Terms of Use, Privacy Policy, and/or Membership Agreement?

The following agreements govern PSN Membership, use, and access of PSN services and resources:

PSN's Terms of Use: https://privatesafehousenetwork.com/terms-of-use

PSN's Privacy Policy: https://privatesafehousenetwork.com/privacy-policy

PSN's Membership Agreement: https://privatesafehousenetwork.com/membership-agreement

Q8: How does PSN place Members in the Top 3% of U.S. families?

We estimate that at best 2.7% of U.S. adults have access to a threat alert system and a secondary emergency shelter in a rural location. This number includes all military and key officials covered under the U.S. Government's Continuity of Government (COG) plans, any family worth over $100 million net worth (assuming all have secondary retreat plans), and any family that owns either a farm, ranch, or secondary home in a rural location. Wealthier Americans are spending up to $50,000 on backyard bunkers and $10,000 on security consultants. We believe PSN offers similar protection beginning at $19/month.

The Private Safehouse Network (PSN) connects families with verified safehouses in case of natural disaster, civil unrest, acts of terrorism and more. Founded by U.S. military veterans, homesteaders, and concerned families, we’re a private network of Americans (both "Guest

PSN was created by U.S. military veterans based on real experiences at government survival bunkers and Safehouses.

PSN is a private subscription-based organization. Not affiliated or endorsed by the U.S. Government.

© Private Safehouse Network, 2025. All Rights Reserved.